In “The Fourth Turning Is Here” and “End Times,” the historian Neil Howe and the social scientist Peter Turchin use generational analysis and Big Data to predict the crises to come. By Francis ...

If historians could tell the future, they would be better paid. They have enough trouble telling the past. History keeps being rewritten because it is impossible not to write from the present.

History is synonymous with cycles of inflections and disruptions. The concept that history moves in cycles rather than straight lines comes from the belief that history and events that become part of ...