Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. I show you how to save and invest. Yield curve inversion has historically predicted U.S. recessions with greater accuracy than ...

Discover what a normal yield curve is and how it affects your investments. This curve shows lower yields for short-term debt and can indicate future interest rate trends.

Many are concerned that a deeply inverted yield curve signals a recession. When we look at the current yield curve, we see an opportunity to add exposure to fixed income. The most direct implication ...

You know that once-mythical soft landing thing that Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee referenced in his recent interview with Marketplace? It’s the thing where inflation is tamed but ...

An inverted yield curve, historically a precursor to economic downturns, suggests short-term borrowing costs for banks could soon outpace returns from long-term loans, squeezing profit margins, writes ...

If you consider yourself an educated investor, there are two things you may already know about an inverted yield curve. First, it describes a period in which short-term bonds offer higher interest ...

The yield curve spread that most accurately forecasts recessions is that between the 10-year Treasury bond yield and the 3-month Treasury bill rate. Fed economists and policymakers are also ...

The US Treasury yield curve is raising alarms among investors and economists again. That’s because it has been flipped upside down in an inversion, as it’s often called, for more than a year . Almost ...

Stocks made new record highs, with the S&P 500 setting an intraday high of 5,261.10 and a closing high of 5,241.53 on Thursday. For the week, the S&P increased 2.3% to close at 5,234.18. The index is ...

The yield curve is the difference between the current 10-year T-Note yield and the 2-Year T-Note yield. The Fed Funds Rate is the rate the Fed sets on overnight money to establish the demand for money ...

One of the most accurate recession predictors is only half right, market veteran Ed Yardeni told Insider. The yield curve has been inverted for more than a year, but it doesn't mean a recession is ...

NEW YORK, NEW YORK - JANUARY 09: Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during afternoon trading on January 09, 2023 in New York City. The stock market closed with mixed results ...